Special Focus
Written by Mohammed Isah   
Thursday, 02 September 2010 21:40

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EURUSD: Continues To Sustain Recovery.

EURUSD: Having rallied and pushed above its minor resistance at the  1.2770 level, its Aug’27’10 high, the pair is now sustaining that strength in early trading today. This suggests that a move towards Aug 18’10 high at 1.2921 could be shaping up with a violation there targeting the 1.3332 level. A break will resume its short term uptrend towards its .50. Fib Ret (1.5143-1.1875 decline) at 1.3500 and then the 1.3691 level, its April 12’10 high. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this vniew. Conversely, if weakness is seen, the1.2586 level, its Aug 24’10 low will be targeted followed by the 1.2522 level, its July 13’10 high. Further weakness if seen will aim at its Jun 20’10 high at 1.2466 and possibly lower. Overall, with bull pressure developing again, higher level prices are seen.



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EURUSD:  Weakens  For  A Third Consecutive Week, Violates The 1.4479/46 Levels

EURUSD-  Outlook remains low after the pair extended its doji candle triggered declines the past week pushing it through its strong support levels the 1.4479 level, its 0ct 02’09 high and its Aug 05’09 high at 1.4446 to close lower at 1.4332. With its pattern of higher highs and lows broken halting its medium term uptrend, risk of further downside is now seen towards the 1.4176 level, its Sept 01’09 low  with a turn below there paving the way for a run at the 1.4044 level , its Aug 17’09. Further out, support is located at its big psycho level at 1.4000. This view is supported by its weekly studies which are bearish and trending lower suggesting further downside weakness. On the other hand, resistance starts at 1.4444/79 levels where we expect a reversal of roles. If that fails, further upside could shape up towards the 1.4625 level, its Nov 03’09 low and then the 1.4799 level, its Nov 20’09 high. If that level fails to hold, we may see further climb higher towards the 1.4949 level, the back of its invalidated LT rising trendline.