The Week Ahead


EURUSD: Returns Above Key Resistance, Bull Pressure Set To Extend. 

EURUSD: With EUR following through higher on the back of its previous week gains to break and hold above the 1.2442 level, it faces the risk of further bullish offensive into the new week. In such a case, the 1.2588 level comes in as the initial resistance where a violation will call for a move higher towards the 1.2692 level. A breach will pave the way for a run at the 1.2748 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. The alternative scenario will be for the pair to return to the 1.2442 level. A reversal of roles as support is likely to occur here but if that fails the pair could weaken further towards the 1.2239 level. A clearance of here will set the stage for a move further lower towards the 1.2132/17 levels. Further down, support stands at the 1.2040 level. All in all, EUR continues to face recovery threats having followed through higher the past week. 

The Week Ahead
GBPJPY: Follows Through On Rejection Candle, Scope Seen Towards 123.27 Level.
GBPJPY – With GBPJPY following through higher and triggering a corrective recovery the past week, scope for further strength is now seen towards its nearby resistance at the 123.27 level,  its Aug 10’ 2011 low. This is coming on the back of its previous week rejection candle formation. A decisive break and close above the 123.27 level will extend its corrective recovery possibly towards the 125.05 level, its Sept 06’2011 high. Further out, resistance comes in at the 127.31 level, its Aug 22’2011 high. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Alternatively, the risk to this analysis will be a return to the 116.78 level where a decisive violation will call for a run at the 115.00 and 114.00 levels, all representing its psycho levels. All in all, though the cross continues to maintain its long term downtrend, it now faces corrective recovery risk of its recent declines.


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