The Week Ahead


GBPJPY: Bullish, Pressure Builds On The 1.2581 Level.

GBPJPY – With continued corrective offensive pushing the cross above the 124.01 level the past week , the risk of further recovery is developing towards the 125.81 level, representing its Jun 21’2012 high. A decisive breach of here will call for more upside towards the 126.43 level with a loss of here creating scope for further upside risk towards the 127.08 level. Further out, resistance resides at 128.84 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. The alternative scenario is a pullback towards the 124.01 level where a reversal of roles as support is expected. However, if this fails, further declines could build up towards the 122.38 level where a violation will set the stage for a move further lower towards the 121.77 level. But for the cross to resume its broader medium term weakness, it will have to break below the 118.78 level.  On the whole, the cross remains biased to the upside on correction nearer term.


USDCAD: Weakens, Sets Up For A Run At 0.9840 Level.
USDCAD: With USDCAD reversing its previous week gains to close lower on Friday, the risk is for further declines to shape up towards the 0.9840 level. A decisive violation of the 0.9840 level will pave the way for further declines towards the 0.9804 level, its Sept 19’2011 low. Further down, support lies at the 0.9779 level, its Sept 16’2011 low with a breach targeting the 0.9724 level, its Aug 31'2011 low. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, the pair will have to climb above the 1.0033/48 levels to annul its present bearishness and bring further gains towards the 1.0146 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.0250 level and then the 1.0317 level followed by the 1.0423 level, its Dec 14’2011 high. All in all, the pair remains vulnerable to the downside as it looks to weaken further.




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