Special Focus On EURGBP

EURUSD:  Weakens  For  A Third Consecutive Week, Violates The 1.4479/46 Levels

EURUSD-  Outlook remains low after the pair extended its doji candle triggered declines the past week pushing it through its strong support levels the 1.4479 level, its 0ct 02’09 high and its Aug 05’09 high at 1.4446 to close lower at 1.4332. With its pattern of higher highs and lows broken halting its medium term uptrend, risk of further downside is now seen towards the 1.4176 level, its Sept 01’09 low  with a turn below there paving the way for a run at the 1.4044 level , its Aug 17’09. Further out, support is located at its big psycho level at 1.4000. This view is supported by its weekly studies which are bearish and trending lower suggesting further downside weakness. On the other hand, resistance starts at 1.4444/79 levels where we expect a reversal of roles. If that fails, further upside could shape up towards the 1.4625 level, its Nov 03’09 low and then the 1.4799 level, its Nov 20’09 high. If that level fails to hold, we may see further climb higher towards the 1.4949 level, the back of its invalidated LT rising trendline.