25 July 2008
Last Updated on 04 October 2012
Mohammed Isah
USDCAD: Boarder Bias Points Lower, Trend Resumption Risk Seen
USDCAD: Having continued to hold on to its broader bearishness, the risk is for further declines to occur. This should see the pair target the 0.9802/0.9798 levels where a break will resume its broader medium term downtrend towards the 0.9724 level. Further down, support lies at the 0.9600 level. Its Daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, recovery if triggered will aim at the 1.0018 level where a break will target the 1.0064/83 levels. This if seen should push the pair further higher towards the 1.0105 level and then the 1.0165 level. But the pair must return above the 1.0230/48 levels to annul its broader short term weakness. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside in the medium term.
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EURUSD: Weakens For A Third Consecutive Week, Violates The 1.4479/46 Levels
EURUSD- Outlook remains low after the pair extended its doji candle triggered declines the past week pushing it through its strong support levels the 1.4479 level, its 0ct 02’09 high and its Aug 05’09 high at 1.4446 to close lower at 1.4332. With its pattern of higher highs and lows broken halting its medium term uptrend, risk of further downside is now seen towards the 1.4176 level, its Sept 01’09 low with a turn below there paving the way for a run at the 1.4044 level , its Aug 17’09. Further out, support is located at its big psycho level at 1.4000. This view is supported by its weekly studies which are bearish and trending lower suggesting further downside weakness. On the other hand, resistance starts at 1.4444/79 levels where we expect a reversal of roles. If that fails, further upside could shape up towards the 1.4625 level, its Nov 03’09 low and then the 1.4799 level, its Nov 20’09 high. If that level fails to hold, we may see further climb higher towards the 1.4949 level, the back of its invalidated LT rising trendline.
